Calculating Probabilities for Sampling Distribution
Question 3 • EHS Content Recovery - Probability and Statistics - Part C
A producer of gel pens claims that 96% of its pens can write more than 10,000 words without losing ink. A random sample of 500 pens is collected, and it is found that 470 of the pens can write more than 10,000 words without losing ink. Let = the proportion of the sample of pens that can write more than 10,000 words.The probability that 94% or fewer of these gel pens can write more than 10,000 words is 0.0115. Does this result provide convincing evidence against the producer of the gel pens?
Answer
A
Yes, the difference between the sample proportion and the parameter is 2%, which is less than 5%.
B
Yes, the probability of seeing the sample result is so far from what is expected that the probability of it occurring by chance alone is very unlikely (0.0115 < 0.05).
C
No, it is expected that at least 470 gel pens from this producer will write more than 10,000 words.
D
No, the difference between the sample result and what is expected is not extreme enough. The probability of it occurring by chance alone is not unlikely (0.0115 < 0.05).