8
QuizMultiple Choice

Calculating Probabilities for Sampling Distribution

Question 8 • NC-Math 4

An acting school claims that 71% of its graduates land major acting roles within one year of graduation. A random sample of 50 graduates was surveyed, and 30 of them had landed major roles within one year of graduation. Let = the proportion of the sample who had landed major roles within one year of graduation.The probability that 60% or fewer graduates land a major acting role within one year of graduating from this school is 0.043. Does this result provide convincing evidence against the school’s claim?

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Answer
A
Yes, it is expected that at least 60 graduates from this school will land a major role within one year of graduation.
B
Yes, the probability of seeing the sample result is so far from what is expected that the probability of it occurring by chance alone is very unlikely (0.043 < 0.05).
C
No, the difference between the sample proportion and the parameter is 11%, which is greater than 5%.
D
No, the difference between the sample result and what is expected is not extreme enough. The probability of it occurring by chance alone is not unlikely (0.043 < 0.05).
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