Probability — Test Answers

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Which of the following is the correct value and interpretation of cap p times open paren cap b divides cap f close paren ?

A
cap p times open paren cap b divides cap f close paren is equal to 0 point 3 7 ; given that the student prefers to write with block letters, there is a 0 point 3 7 probability that they have fair dancing skills.
B
cap p times open paren cap b divides cap f close paren is equal to 0 point 4 5 ; given that the student has fair dancing skills, there is a 0 point 4 5 probability that they prefer to write with block letters.
C
cap p times open paren cap b divides cap f close paren is equal to 0 point 4 5 ; given that the student prefers to write with block letters, there is a 0 point 4 5 probability that they have fair dancing skills.
D
cap p times open paren cap b divides cap f close paren is equal to 0 point 3 7 ; given that the student has fair dancing skills, there is a 0 point 3 7 probability that they prefer to write with block letters.
6

A cereal company hopes to increase its sales by putting prizes in randomly selected boxes of its lowest-selling children’s cereal. The company claims that the probability of getting a prize is 0 point 7 5 Which is the correct interpretation of this probability?

A
This company expects to increase cereal sales by 75 percent .
B
In many, many boxes of cereal of this type, we can expect about 75 percent of the boxes to contain a prize.
C
There is a guarantee of getting 3 prizes when buying 4 boxes of this type of cereal.
D
The claim of this company is correct if exactly 75 out of 100 boxes of this type of cereal contain a prize.
12

In Canada, 63 percent of households speak English as their primary language, and 23 percent speak French as their primary language. If two Canadian households are selected at random, what is the probability that the first household speaks French, but the second household speaks English?

A
0 point 2 3 over 0 point 6 3 is equal to 0 point 3 6 5 0
B
0 point 2 3 plus 0 point 6 3 minus 0 point 2 3 times 0 point 6 3 is equal to 0 point 7 4 5 1
C
0 point 2 3 plus 0 point 6 3 is equal to 0 point 8 6
D
0 point 2 3 times 0 point 6 3 is equal to 0 point 1 4 4 9
15

Shawn is playing a game with a set of cards. Half of them are blue and the other half are yellow. In the game, the player guesses the color of the top card, looks at the card, and returns the card to the deck. The player continues to do this, shuffling the deck after each guess. Shawn has guessed the first three attempts as "blue” and has been correct on each guess. He says he will guess "yellow” for the next card since a yellow card is due to happen. Is Shawn’s reasoning correct?

A
Yes, half of the cards are yellow, so the fourth card should be yellow to compensate for the first three cards being blue.
B
No, all of the cards have been blue so far, so the next one must also be blue.
C
No, the law of large numbers says that the proportion of yellow cards should approach the true probability after many trials.
D
Yes, Shawn has guessed well so far, so it is clear that he cannot miss.
20

Based on the dotplot of the simulation results and the pool player’s last 20 games, which conclusion can be drawn?

A
Another 100 simulated trials would show a much different outcome; therefore, we cannot draw any conclusions.
B
There is about a 27 percent chance of her sinking at least one ball on her break 14 or fewer times in 20 games. This result is not unusual and there is no convincing evidence that her average is less than 80 percent .
C
It is most likely that she would sink at least one ball during her break exactly 16 times.
D
The player’s true probability of sinking at least one ball on her break is 27 percent .

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