AnswersConcepts in Probability and Statistics AProbability with Combinations and Permutations

Probability with Combinations and Permutations — Unit test Answers

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A professional pool player claims that she sinks at least one ball in a pocket on 80% of her opening break shots. In a recent set of 20 games, she sunk at least one ball on her break shot in only 14 of the games. A simulation of 100 trials was conducted to see how unusual these most recent games are.

Question illustration
A
The player’s true probability of sinking at least one ball on her break is 27%.
B
Another 100 simulated trials would show a much different outcome; therefore, we cannot draw any conclusions.
C
It is most likely that she would sink at least one ball during her break exactly 16 times.
D
There is about a 27% chance of her sinking at least one ball on her break 14 or fewer times in 20 games. This result is not unusual and there is no convincing evidence that her average is less than 80%.
6

The following two-way table shows the distribution of daily traffic and weather issues in a certain large city.

Question illustration
A
No, P(A) = P(B|A).
B
No, P(A) ≠ P(A|B).
C
Yes, P(A) = P(A|B).
D
Yes, P(A) ≠ P(B|A).
8

A cereal company hopes to increase its sales by putting prizes in randomly selected boxes of its lowest-selling children’s cereal. The company claims that the probability of getting a prize is 0.75.Which is the correct interpretation of this probability?

A
This company expects to increase cereal sales by 75%.
B
There is a guarantee of getting 3 prizes when buying 4 boxes of this type of cereal.
C
In many, many boxes of cereal of this type, we can expect about 75% of the boxes to contain a prize.
D
The claim of this company is correct if exactly 75 out of 100 boxes of this type of cereal contain a prize.
11

A researcher randomly selects 95 high school students and asks their handwriting preference and how well they dance. The two-way table displays the data. Suppose one of the students is randomly selected. Let B = the student prefers writing in block letters and F = the student’s dancing skills are fair.

Question illustration
A
P(B|F) = 0.37; given that the student has fair dancing skills, there is a 0.37 probability that they prefer to write with block letters.
B
P(B|F) = 0.37; given that the student prefers to write with block letters, there is a 0.37 probability that they have fair dancing skills.
C
P(B|F) = 0.45; given that the student has fair dancing skills, there is a 0.45 probability that they prefer to write with block letters.
D
P(B|F) = 0.45; given that the student prefers to write with block letters, there is a 0.45 probability that they have fair dancing skills.
12

Shawn is playing a game with a set of cards. Half of them are blue and the other half are yellow. In the game, the player guesses the color of the top card, looks at the card, and returns the card to the deck. The player continues to do this, shuffling the deck after each guess.

A
Yes, Shawn has guessed well so far, so it is clear that he cannot miss.
B
No, all of the cards have been blue so far, so the next one must also be blue.
C
Yes, half of the cards are yellow, so the fourth card should be yellow to compensate for the first three cards being blue.
D
No, the law of large numbers says that the proportion of yellow cards should approach the true probability after many trials.
13

An online news report claims that 50% of online news readers work in the business industry. To test this claim, a researcher takes an SRS of 25 online news readers. Nine of them work in the business industry. A simulation of 65 trials was conducted under the assumption that 50% of online news readers really do work in the business industry.

Question illustration
A
Since 0.36 of the sample works in the business industry, 0.36 is the true probability that an online news reader works in the business industry.
B
It is most likely that, out of 25 online readers, between 12 and 13 work in the business industry.
C
Because there appear to be outliers present that are greater than 16, we can conclude that more than 50% of online readers work in the business industry.
D
There is about a 0.046 chance that 9 or fewer online readers work in the business industry. This is unusual and is convincing evidence that less than 50% of online readers work in the business industry.
16

A researcher randomly selects 165 vehicles and sees how many miles each car has been driven and the color of the vehicle. The two-way table displays the data. Suppose a vehicle is randomly selected. Let M = the vehicle has been driven many miles and B = the vehicle is blue.

Question illustration
A
P(B|M) = 0.36; given that the vehicle color is blue, there is a 0.36 probability that it has been driven many miles.
B
P(B|M) = 0.36; given that the vehicle has been driven many miles, there is a 0.36 probability that the color is blue.
C
P(B|M) = 0.54; given that the vehicle color is blue, there is a 0.54 probability that it has been driven many miles.
D
P(B|M) = 0.54; given that the vehicle has been driven many miles, there is a 0.54 probability that the color is blue.
19

The track team gives awards for first, second, and third place runners. There are 10 students from school A and 12 students from school B competing.Which expression represents the probability that all three awards will go to a student from school B?

A
StartFraction 12 P 3 Over 22 P 3 EndFraction
Option A
B
StartFraction 12 C 3 Over 22 C 3 EndFraction
Option B
C
StartFraction 22 P 3 Over 22 P 12 EndFraction
Option C
D
StartFraction 22 C 3 Over 22 C 12 EndFraction
Option D

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